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Tuesday, June 30, 2009

June 30, 2009: India's new gold markets; former CME CEO to lead rival


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Observations - Statistics - Commentary

Ex-CEO is back to haunt CME
Crain's Chicago Business
James McNulty is preparing to storm the futures empire he helped build. As Chicago Mercantile Exchange CEO, Mr. McNulty engineered the company's initial public offering in 2002 and oversaw a doubling of its share price. But one year after the IPO, he was shown the door amid friction with CME's member-controlled board over his pay and management style.
http://bit.ly/hkxhk

***** This is a full-on feature story from Ann Saphir that includes the politics, personalities and history that will make this new rivalry fascinating to watch.


Electronic markets take on the middlemen of India
FT.com
... But in spite of its appetite for the metal – India consumes 800 tonnes a year, about 20 per cent of world demand – the subcontinent has not been the centre of price discovery for gold. That has largely been left to international markets.
http://bit.ly/hWCo8

***** India's gold market is very much in the news with new National Spot Exchange Ltd, which launched today, and the Universal Commodity Exchange, which has applied for reg. clearance. Gold imports were way up as well.


Universal Commodity Exchange plans national bourse
Reuters
Universal Commodity Exchange has approached the Forward Markets Commission to set up India's sixth national level commodity exchange, B.C Khatua, chairman of FMC told Reuters on Tuesday.
http://bit.ly/6XoOx



JLN Metals Scorecard 29-Jun-09


NYSE LIFFE US Total Volume 9,093


100 oz. Gold Futures Volumes
NYSE LIFFE US 1,697
CME/NYMEX 59,061
CME/NYMEX Open Auction 2,749
NYSE LIFFE market share 2.67%
NYSE LIFFE US Electronic market share 2.79%


100 oz. Gold Futures Open Interest
CME/NYMEX 378,567
NYSE LIFFE US 3,257
NYSE LIFFE US market share 0.85%


Mini Gold Volume
NYSE LIFFE US 3,929
CME/NYMEX miNY 32
CME/NYMEX E-mini 37
NYSE Liffe market share 98.27%


5,000 oz. Silver Futures Volume
NYSE LIFFE US 762
CME/NYMEX 28,955
NYSE LIFFE US market share 2.56%


Mini Silver Volume
NYSE LIFFE US 2,694
CME/NYMEX miNY 45
CME/NYMEX E-mini 1
NYSE LIFFE US market share 98.32%


Additional Metal Futures Volume statistics
EUREX Gold Futures 9
TOCOM Gold Futures* 29,810
TOCOM Mini Gold Futures* 15,649
TOCOM Silver Futures* 318
MCX Gold Futures* 35,440
Dubai Gold & Commodities Exchange 2,999
* trade date June 30, 2009


Precious metal ETFs Symbol Volume
ProShares Ultra Silver (ETF) AGQ 153,741
Market Vectors Gold Miners (ETF) GDX 4,046,655
SPDR Gold Trust (ETF) GLD 6,529,175
ProShares UltraShort Gold (ETF) GLL 162,264
iShares COMEX Gold Trust (ETF) IAU 191,389
iShares Silver Trust (ETF) SLV 7,672,818
Market Vectors Steel (ETF) SLX 160,754
ProShares Ultra Gold (ETF) UGL 142,283
ProShares UltraShort Silver (ETF) ZSL 297,754






NYSE LIFFE US INTENTS OF 29Jun2009 FOR DELIVERY ON 01Jul2009

33.2 oz Gold Issue total Stop total
Fortis Clearing Americas LLC 1 3
MF Global Inc. 3 2
total 4 4



100 oz Gold

Fortis Clearing Americas L.L.C. 5 5
total 5 5



5000 oz Silver

Fortis Clearing Americas L.L.C.
1
MF Global Inc. 2 5
J.P. Morgan Futures Inc. 202 12
J.P. Morgan Futures Inc.
184
R.J. O'Brien & Associates Inc.
1
Rosenthal Collins Group L.L.C.
1

204 204

Comex daily delivery notices: http://bit.ly/c7qtJ
Gold stocks: http://bit.ly/Z9hDW
Silver stocks: http://bit.ly/53TGn


Lead Stories

Billions of dollars down the tubes
Mineweb
The world's most overpriced mining acquisitions, during the 2001 to 2009 "Xstrata era", and the sometime horrifying damage.
http://bit.ly/17UlSi

Saudi Arabia Diversifying into Metals
metalminer.com
... A number of foreign firms working new sites in the historically rich area of western Saudi known as the Cradle of Gold are gradually raising the annual gold production above the 5.7 tons produced last year reports the FT.
http://bit.ly/18AEUU

India taps into domestic gold stocks
FT.com
India is on Tuesday set to begin trading on its new gold bullion market in an attempt to mobilise the thousands of tonnes of the precious metal that the country's households keep hidden under their beds as savings.
http://bit.ly/ZEZTB

India to Lure Housewives With Mini Gold Contracts
Bloomberg.com
National Spot Exchange Ltd., India's biggest bourse for trading physical gold, launched contracts in small denominations, aimed at households in the world's largest consumer of the precious metal.
http://bit.ly/7oyLe


Futures & ETF News

Top 5 ETF Performers Relate to China and Commodities
Seeking Alpha
We've basically reached the midway point of 2009. Granted, we can talk about the resurrection of industrial metals, the resilience of emerging regions and/or the miraculous turnaround for financial stocks off of the March lows.
http://bit.ly/xUZbR

Diversify to Fight Inflation
TheStreet.com
The argument over inflation has reached fever pitch as investors turn to gold, TIPS and index funds to diversify their portfolios and beat the specter of declining purchasing power.
http://bit.ly/PX5Y4

ETF Securities gold ETC holdings fall 0.013 pct
Reuters
ETF Securities said on Monday the amount of gold it holds to back its Gold Bullion Securities exchange-traded commodity fund declined 567 ounces on June 26.
http://bit.ly/15WqU4

Six ETF Stories from the First Half of '09
Seeking Alpha
With a roller coaster six months behind us that saw no shortage of interesting twists and turns and unsuspected headlines, we've finally reached the midway point of 2009.
http://bit.ly/HCx22
London Stock Exchange Welcomes New ETC Issuer
Mondovisione
...Source Chooses London To Expand ETC Offering "Source has listed its Physical Gold ETC (Gold P-ETC) which tracks the performance of gold by investing directly in gold bullion and has chosen London Stock Exchange in order to make its product available for trading in US dollars.
http://bit.ly/aWlVD


Investments

Is Gold a Hedge on Uncertain Dollar Outlook?
Seeking Alpha
The opinion of currency analysts on the immediate outlook for the US dollar is almost evenly divided between two extremes: those who think the dollar will rise significantly in value by the end of the year; and those who conclude that the greenback will fall.
http://bit.ly/VK0un

Commodity Broking's Barratt Says Gold a `No-Go Zone': Video
Bloomberg.com
Jonathan Barratt, managing director at Commodity Broking Services Pty, talks with Bloomberg's Catherine Yang about his investment strategy for gold.
http://bit.ly/Rr2Yr

Gold and Deflation: A Trick Question
whiskeyandgunpowder.com
... Gold, like silver, gained in purchasing power during deflation but lost out to inflation. The only things to rise during commodity-price inflations were commodity prices and social unrest.
http://bit.ly/xpRmW

Copper to outperform as Chinese dragon breathes life
Mineweb
As China's dragon has breathed life back into commodity prices, Scotiabank's Patricia Mohr expects copper imports to decline in the summer and rebound late this year and early 2010.
http://bit.ly/FJcOs

Emerging Markets Outlook Is ‘Optimistic,' Faber Says
Bloomberg.com
The outlook for emerging markets is “far more optimistic” than for developed economies as growth picks up, said investor Marc Faber, who advised investors to buy gold before its eight-year rally.
http://bit.ly/WMk6U

Pervan Sees Gold Rising to $1,000 on U.S. Dollar Decline: Video
Bloomberg.com
Mark Pervan, a senior commodity strategist at Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd., talks with Bloomberg's Susan Li about the outlook for gold prices.
http://bit.ly/fLr5K


Production News

TRANSPORTING PRECIOUS METAL
The Globe and Mail
Transporting 17,500 troy ounces of gold - about 544 kilograms, the weight of five newborn African elephants - is a task that would require some serious muscle.
http://bit.ly/29y2xU


Regulatory News

UCX seeks FMC nod to set up national commodity bourse
Press Trust of India
Universal Commodity Exchange has applied for necessary clearance from the commodity market regulator, FMC, to set up a national level exchange in the country.
http://bit.ly/eTRtk


Reports & Macroeconomics

India likely imported 8-10 T of gold in June
Reuters
India's gold imports in June were likely around 8 to 10 tonnes, down from 24 tonnes the same month a year ago, a senior official from Bombay Bullion Association (BBA) said on Tuesday.
http://bit.ly/hbMmy

Chile Copper Output Fell 2.3% to 454,455 Tons in May
Bloomberg.com
Chilean copper output fell 2.3 percent in May from a year earlier, the government said.
http://bit.ly/Xajjc


Miscellaneous News

Review Finds C$19 Million of Gold Missing From Mint, Globe Says
Bloomberg.com
An independent audit of the Royal Canadian Mint's records concluded that about C$19 million ($16.5 million) worth of gold is missing and appears to be a theft, the Globe and Mail reported.
http://bit.ly/mdZah

Audit fails to rule out gold heist at Mint
TheStar.com
The federal government has ordered an immediate review of security at the Royal Canadian Mint after an external audit suggested criminal activity could be behind the disappearance of $15.3 million worth of gold and other precious metals.
http://bit.ly/15s7QD

Barclays Hires Analysts for Latin America Research
Bloomberg.com
Barclays Plc, the U.K.'s third- largest bank, hired five analysts for its Latin American equity research team as part of an expansion into the region.
http://bit.ly/IyCr2

More Defense funds for metals may be in works
AMM.com
More funding may be on the way for steelmakers and other metal producers via Title III of the Defense Production Act (DPA), according to industry and government sources.
http://bit.ly/3x7tEm


Gold in the headlines

Town Sees Riches in Abandoned Gold Mine
WSJ.com
Eight years after the Homestake gold mine here was shut down, this town is fashioning an unlikely economic-stimulus plan from the warren of tunnels the miners left behind.
http://bit.ly/KMWGF

***** Not market related, but a cool science story about re purposing a mine.

Guts, gold and dollars: Three looks at Catholics defiant, devoted
USA Today
... In Chicago's Melrose Park neighborhood, parishioners gave their personal gold -- wedding bands, watches etc -- to be melted down for two 14-carat gold crowns, valued at $75,000 for a statue of "La Madonna del Carmine" and the baby Jesus, as expressions of gratitude to Mary.
http://bit.ly/1cCpM


Physicals & Company News

India Resource Firms May See Profit Hit Despite Demand
WSJ.com
... Companies selling steel, aluminum, copper and cement are expected to generate higher sales volumes on rising automobile sales and government spending on infrastructure, but price realization will be hit by low global metals and steel prices and overcapacity in India's cement sector.
http://bit.ly/n34wz

Xstrata's Davis defends nil-premium bid
miningmx.com
MICK Davis, Xstrata CEO, defended his company's decision not to pay a premium for Anglo American claiming the proposed merger did not remove any optionality for Anglo shareholders.
http://bit.ly/Of6Io

Xstrata Bid for Anglo May Herald Revival of Moribund M&A Market
Bloomberg.com
Mergers and acquisitions may show signs of recovering from a six-year low as the credit freeze thaws and chief executive officers such as Xstrata Plc's Mick Davis gain confidence to do deals.
http://bit.ly/MSCU2

***** On the other hand...

Xstrata's Davis Says Lonmin Bid ‘One Deal Too Many'
Bloomberg.com
Xstrata Plc Chief Executive Officer Mick Davis, who's pursuing a 23.5 billion-pound ($39 billion) merger with Anglo American Plc, said his attempt last year to acquire platinum producer Lonmin Plc was “one deal too many.”
http://bit.ly/fJenS

Vedanta's Konkola May Lose 10,000 Tons of Production
Bloomberg.com
Vedanta Resources Plc's copper smelter in Zambia may lose about 10,000 metric tons of production after it was shut down because of a technical fault, said spokesman Rahul Kharkar.
http://bit.ly/Kuq53

Severstal Asked to Improve High River Offer, Vedomosti Reports
Bloomberg.com
Four minority shareholders of Toronto-based High River Gold Mines Ltd. said OAO Severstal should improve an offer for the shares it doesn't already own, Vedomosti reported, citing Ryan Dodd, a partner of Specialized Asset Management.
http://bit.ly/W6LTN

Orkney gold mine tender restarted
miningmx.com
THE bidding process for Pamodzi Gold's Orkney mine has been re-opened after Simmer & Jack, one of the leading bidders, opted out of the process earlier in June.
http://bit.ly/39Nuc7

Rio Tinto Iron Ore Prices May Revert to Spot Level Tomorrow
Bloomberg.com
Rio Tinto Group, the world's second biggest iron-ore producer, said some contracts may revert to spot market pricing tomorrow as China's steelmakers argue for a deeper cut than Asian rivals agreed.
http://bit.ly/M3Ib5

Hindalco Full-Year Net Falls 80% on Derivatives, Cost
Bloomberg.com
Hindalco Industries Ltd., India's biggest aluminum producer, reported an 80 percent decline in full-year profit because of waning demand, higher raw material costs and derivatives losses.
http://bit.ly/2SnYN

SAfrica mining union keen to bargain with Angloplat
Reuters
South Africa's mineworkers union said on Tuesday it would be willing to lower its 15 percent wage increase demand for its members at Anglo Platinum (AMSJ.J) as a trade-off for the company coming close to meeting its other demands.
http://bit.ly/4GnGXf

BHP to Halt Some Production at Bayside Aluminum Plant
Bloomberg.com
BHP Billiton Ltd., Africa's biggest aluminum producer, will stop some output at its Bayside smelter in South Africa at the end of September as demand weakens.
http://bit.ly/MhppS

Ruukki's acquisition safari
miningmx.com
FINNISH metals refining group Ruukki is to merge with ASX-listed Sylvania Resources in the next stage of its strategy to expand into southern Africa.
http://bit.ly/c0FKO

Finland's Ruukki to buy Sylvania for 268 mln euros
Reuters
Finland's Ruukki Group Plc said on Tuesday it would acquire Australia's platinum-group metals producer Sylvania Resources Ltd for 268 million euros ($378.1 million) under a merger implementation agreement.
http://bit.ly/Eq0LX

Schnitzer Steel posts fiscal 3Q loss
Boston.com
Schnitzer Steel Industries Inc. posted a fiscal third-quarter loss Tuesday, missing Wall Street estimates as revenue dropped in its metals recycling, auto parts and steel manufacturing businesses.
http://bit.ly/3tY27Y

BHP Closes Parts of Perseverance Mine After Rock Fall
Bloomberg.com
BHP Billiton Ltd., the world's biggest mining company, said parts of its Perseverance nickel mine in Western Australia are closed following a rock fall, the second such event to suspend operations this month.
http://bit.ly/1pV5L

Gammon Gold says lenders agree to waive covenant breach
Reuters
Canadian gold producer Gammon Gold Inc (GAM.TO) said its lenders have agreed to waive the current loan covenant breach and granted it access to the undrawn portion of its $50 million credit facility.
http://bit.ly/4klVPH

Zambia: Chinese Firm Invests in Copper Mines
allAfrica.com
The China Non-Ferrous Metal Mining Company (CNFC) has taken charge of Zambia's Luanshya Copper Mines, reports the Times of Zambia.
http://bit.ly/KHPCB

Japan Steel Sheet Export Recovers to Asian Market for Jul-Sep
Japan Metal Bulletin
Japanese integrated steel makers' sheet export is recovering.
http://bit.ly/Jf8ny

Minatura Gold Announces Change in Officers and Directors
BUSINESS WIRE
Minatura Gold announced today that it has put into place new officers and directors to commence gold mining operations in Colombia in anticipation of completing its merger with Gold Resource Partners, LLC.
http://bit.ly/Qpqfd


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